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⚓ Orbit — Pre-IPO Intelligence OAI · Nasdaq · speculated

The $852B ChatGPT maker filed to go public.

OpenAI filed a confidential S-1 on June 8 at a ~$852B valuation, with reports targeting up to $1T at debut. Timing is undecided — leadership says it "may be a while" — but the path is set. Bidness tracks the road to the largest tech IPO since SpaceX.

Last valuation
$0B
Mar 2026
Δ vs prior round
+0.0%
S-1 prob (12mo)
0%
Bob's read
Live signals
2 of 4
Last refresh
9w ago
Sources
OpenAI announcements · Reuters · CNBC · Polymarket
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03 / Valuation

The price of staying private

$25B$253B$481B$709B$937B$29B$157B$300B$500B$852BApr 23Apr 25Mar 26
Apr 23 TenderOct 24 PrimaryApr 25 SoftBankOct 25 SecondaryMar 26 Primary
04 / Telemetry

Live read on the company

Implied valuation
$852B
vs $500B late 2025
March 2026 round
IPO target
Up to $1T
At debut
Per reports
S-1 status
Filed
June 8, 2026
Confidential
05 / Signals

What we're watching

S-01
◉ live

S-1 Filing

Confidential S-1 filed June 8. Path confirmed; exact timing still undecided.

88% intensity
S-02
◐ warming

Timing Risk

Leadership says a listing "may be a while." Polymarket prices ~50% odds of no 2026 close.

50% intensity
S-03
● hot

Valuation Setup

$852B last round; banks reportedly targeting up to $1T at debut.

75% intensity
S-04
◐ warming

Compute Obligations

Reported ~$1.4T in infrastructure commitments — a financing overhang worth watching.

45% intensity
⚓ Bob's Take

Confidential S-1 filed June 8, a week after Anthropic. $852B last round, banks reportedly targeting up to $1T at debut. The catch: OpenAI says timing "may be a while," and Polymarket prices roughly 50% odds of no 2026 listing. Filed — but not in a hurry.

updated Jun 13, 2026
06 / Fleet

How to play it in the public market

07 / Timeline

The road to first trade

  1. 2026-06

    Confidential S-1 filed

    OpenAI files June 8 but says timing "may be a while" — late 2026 or 2027.

  2. 2026-03

    $122B round at $852B

    Largest funding round on record lifts OpenAI to $852B.

  3. 2026-Q4

    Listing window (projected)

    Polymarket prices ~50% odds of a 2026 close; could slip to 2027.

  4. 2025-04

    SoftBank round at $300B

    Record private financing led by SoftBank.

  5. 2015-12

    OpenAI founded

    Founded as a research lab; ChatGPT (2022) turns it into the fastest-growing app in history.